Notes
Outline
Predator-Prey Dynamics for Rabbits, Trees, & Romance
J. C. Sprott
Department of Physics
University of Wisconsin - Madison
Presented to
International Conference on Complex Systems
in Nashua, NH
on May 10, 2002
Lotka-Volterra Equations
R = rabbits, F = foxes
dR/dt = r1R(1 - R - a1F)
dF/dt = r2F(1 - F - a2R)
Types of Interactions
Equilibrium Solutions
dR/dt = r1R(1 - R - a1F) = 0
dF/dt = r2F(1 - F - a2R) = 0
Coexistence
With N species, there are 2N equilibria, only one of which represents coexistence.
Coexistence is unlikely unless the species compete only weakly with one another.
Diversity in nature may result from having so many species from which to choose.
There may be coexisting “niches” into which organisms evolve.
Species may segregate spatially.
Alternate Spatial Lotka-Volterra Equations
Features of the Model
Purely deterministic
(no randomness)
Purely endogenous
(no external effects)
Purely homogeneous
(every cell is equivalent)
Purely egalitarian
(all species obey same equation)
Continuous time
Typical Results
Dominant Species
Fluctuations in Cluster Probability
Power Spectrum
of Cluster Probability
Sensitivity to Initial Conditions
Results
Most species die out
Co-existence is possible
Densities can fluctuate chaotically
Complex spatial patterns spontaneously arise
Romance
(Romeo and Juliet)
Let R = Romeo’s love for Juliet
Let J = Juliet’s love for Romeo
Assume R and J obey Lotka-Volterra Equations
Ignore spatial effects
Romantic Styles
Pairings - Stable Mutual Love
Love Triangles
There are 4-6 variables
Stable co-existing love is rare
Chaotic solutions are possible
But…none were found in LV model
Other models do show chaos
Summary
Nature is complex
Simple models may suffice
References
http://sprott.physics.wisc.edu/ lectures/iccs2002/  (This talk)
sprott@juno.physics.wisc.edu